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Red47
21722.5
412114.4
254415.4
Blue57
76358.4
649016.2
315721.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523902060801004757

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#18
22.50.1
21.921.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.8
End4.6
red by 0.8
21.72.3
13.615.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End7.7
Second
2544
#28
15.40.2
13.813.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End4.2
blue by 0.8
6490
#21
16.22.3
15.117.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.3
End2.7
Third
4121
#38
14.40.2
13.213.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End3.2
red by 5.9
7635
#39
8.42.3
8.110.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsEarned