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Red57
37820.7
159118.0
725122.3
Blue35
254415.4
27111.6
7438.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443902060805735

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.31.7
12.314.1
Auto5.8
Teleop9.9
End6.5
red by 6.9
2544
#28
15.40.2
13.613.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End4.2
Second
378
#10
20.71.7
14.416.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.5
End5.7
red by 9.1
271
#46
11.60.2
12.612.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Third
1591
#22
18.01.7
14.816.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End4.9
red by 9.5
743
#47
8.40.2
10.510.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed