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Red26
68927.4
23406.4
34025.2
Blue55
525425.1
145017.5
112615.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45500204060802655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#14
25.21.8
19.717.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End7.5
red by 0.1
25.10.5
19.920.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.8
End6.6
Second
6892
#42
7.41.8
13.611.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End2.8
blue by 10.0
17.50.5
14.514.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End2.2
Third
2340
#48
6.41.8
9.27.3
Auto2.3
Teleop1.0
End3.0
blue by 8.8
1126
#24
15.20.5
13.313.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsMissed