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Red51
409317.9
311713.3
34025.2
Blue73
155918.2
725122.3
150724.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51552030406070805173

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#14
25.20.3
17.818.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End7.5
red by 0.7
1507
#12
24.52.3
21.323.6
Auto5.8
Teleop15.4
End3.3
Second
4093
#26
17.90.3
14.815.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End3.9
blue by 4.4
22.32.3
14.116.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.9
End6.5
Third
3117
#23
13.30.3
15.716.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End2.7
blue by 4.8
1559
#20
18.22.3
16.518.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsMissed55%HAB Docking oddsMissed