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Red29
19116.8
318111.4
57817.9
Blue76
87031.6
412114.4
145017.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435220306070802976

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
#31
17.91.3
13.512.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.8
End4.3
blue by 13.7
870
#1
31.63.0
22.425.4
Auto5.7
Teleop18.3
End7.6
Second
191
#36
16.81.3
13.111.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End5.6
blue by 0.7
17.53.0
14.817.8
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End2.2
Third
3181
#40
11.41.3
13.712.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End2.1
blue by 2.9
4121
#38
14.43.0
11.914.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsEarned