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Red37
27111.6
318111.4
409317.9
Blue58
559015.1
759413.7
155124.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4448102030406070803758

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4093
#26
17.90.8
16.715.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End3.9
blue by 6.4
24.30.6
22.723.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End7.6
Second
271
#46
11.60.8
12.111.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 3.5
5590
#27
15.11.1
11.913.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End4.1
Third
3181
#40
11.40.8
12.511.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End2.1
blue by 2.2
7594
#34
13.71.1
10.711.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed45%HAB Docking oddsEarned