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Red50
311713.3
145017.5
155124.3
Blue38
729912.1
37820.7
436118.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615330405070805038

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.7
23.322.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End7.6
red by 3.6
378
#10
20.71.4
20.319.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.5
End5.7
Second
17.51.2
17.716.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End2.2
blue by 0.5
4361
#15
18.00.8
18.217.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End6.1
Third
3117
#23
13.31.2
16.515.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End2.7
red by 1.3
7299
#29
12.10.8
11.710.9
Auto2.4
Teleop5.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsEarned