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Red46
759413.7
57817.9
158512.7
Blue49
155918.2
222822.4
37820.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436230405070804649

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
#31
17.90.5
15.115.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.8
End4.3
blue by 4.5
22.41.0
20.919.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.5
End6.0
Second
7594
#34
13.70.5
12.513.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End3.1
blue by 7.0
378
#10
20.71.0
19.018.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.5
End5.7
Third
1585
#37
12.70.5
13.413.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End1.8
blue by 5.4
1559
#20
18.21.0
18.517.5
Auto3.7
Teleop9.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsMissed46%HAB Docking oddsMissed