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Red79
317311.9
151123.7
87031.6
Blue45
319312.4
725122.3
559015.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625130407080907945

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#1
31.61.8
26.428.3
Auto5.7
Teleop18.3
End7.6
red by 9.3
22.30.3
22.522.1
Auto5.8
Teleop9.9
End6.5
Second
1511
#13
23.71.2
19.921.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End5.4
red by 8.6
5590
#27
15.10.3
14.514.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End4.1
Third
3173
#30
11.91.8
12.013.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End4.2
blue by 0.5
3193
#33
12.40.3
11.311.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsEarned