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Red49
412114.4
150724.5
759413.7
Blue71
145017.5
300322.2
725122.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546030405070804971

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#12
24.50.2
22.422.2
Auto5.8
Teleop15.4
End3.3
red by 2.2
22.31.3
22.123.5
Auto5.8
Teleop9.9
End6.5
Second
4121
#38
14.40.2
15.715.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End3.2
blue by 7.9
22.21.3
18.620.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.6
End7.8
Third
7594
#34
13.70.2
13.012.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End3.1
blue by 3.8
17.51.3
16.317.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsMissed79%HAB Docking oddsEarned