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Red28
7438.4
68927.4
140517.7
Blue30
311713.3
151811.9
254415.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37481020306070802830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#17
17.70.7
17.016.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End6.9
red by 2.3
2544
#28
15.41.5
16.815.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End4.2
Second
743
#47
8.40.7
10.09.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.4
End1.4
blue by 4.9
3117
#23
13.31.5
15.914.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End2.7
Third
6892
#42
7.40.7
8.27.5
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End2.8
blue by 4.4
1518
#41
11.91.5
12.611.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed