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Red53
301528.0
53313.5
68927.4
Blue63
140517.7
409317.9
19116.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50504555605363

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.0
26.226.2
Auto4.3
Teleop14.0
End9.7
red by 10.2
4093
#26
17.91.4
16.417.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End3.9
Second
533
#43
13.50.0
13.513.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.7
End2.2
blue by 4.3
1405
#17
17.71.4
16.317.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End6.9
Third
6892
#42
7.40.0
7.57.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End2.8
blue by 9.3
191
#36
16.81.4
14.315.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsEarned33%HAB Docking oddsEarned