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Red85
301528.0
87031.6
27111.6
Blue64
150724.5
315721.7
19116.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736650607080901008564

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#1
31.60.4
30.831.2
Auto5.7
Teleop18.3
End7.6
red by 7.0
1507
#12
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto5.8
Teleop15.4
End3.3
Second
28.00.4
27.227.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.0
End9.7
red by 6.3
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End7.7
Third
271
#46
11.60.4
10.811.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 5.1
191
#36
16.80.0
16.716.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End5.6