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Red50
61027.3
315718.8
155914.5
Blue19
31818.3
270810.1
57817.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6642020801001205019

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#11
27.30.8
27.426.6
Auto4.9
Teleop16.6
End5.9
red by 10.0
578
#25
17.31.4
18.817.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.8
End5.2
Second
3157
#34
18.80.8
19.618.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End7.6
red by 8.7
2708
#28
10.11.4
11.09.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Third
1559
#32
14.50.8
15.314.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.0
End2.6
red by 6.2
3181
#42
8.31.4
9.78.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
94%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed