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Red78
155119.4
301523.1
540632.9
Blue30
317317.0
222825.5
285211.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8265020401001201407830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#10
32.90.1
32.532.5
Auto5.7
Teleop18.8
End8.4
red by 7.3
2228
#12
25.52.3
26.924.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End6.9
Second
3015
#22
23.10.1
21.821.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End7.4
red by 6.2
3173
#14
17.02.3
20.017.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.1
End5.9
Third
1551
#24
19.40.1
22.923.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End7.2
red by 7.7
2852
#38
11.82.3
14.712.4
Auto4.3
Teleop2.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
28%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
99%HAB Docking oddsEarned93%HAB Docking oddsMissed