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Red50
457120.6
688014.0
659314.5
Blue58
409110.9
412218.3
501617.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5149304060705058

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.0
20.220.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End2.9
red by 2.4
4122
#10
18.30.0
18.218.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End4.8
Second
6593
#28
14.50.0
14.114.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End3.2
blue by 2.7
5016
#17
17.20.0
17.117.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End2.9
Third
14.00.0
13.713.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End3.7
red by 3.2
4091
#14
10.90.0
10.810.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.2