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Red48
179629.9
30178.8
52029.1
Blue37
602417.4
287211.8
753914.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42371020305060704837

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.2
19.919.8
Auto2.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
red by 12.5
6024
#30
17.40.2
14.614.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.3
Second
5202
#45
9.10.2
9.49.2
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End3.6
blue by 5.6
7539
#20
14.70.2
10.310.5
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End3.1
Third
3017
#41
8.80.2
10.210.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End2.7
blue by 3.0
2872
#15
11.80.2
10.310.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed