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Red15
166011.4
691110.6
512312.1
Blue19
25016.3
260113.8
69699.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36430102030506070801519

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5123
#29
12.12.1
10.07.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.9
End3.4
blue by 4.3
250
#6
16.31.8
14.312.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End3.3
Second
1660
#44
11.42.1
13.511.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End2.1
blue by 2.4
13.83.1
14.211.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End2.8
Third
6911
#38
10.62.1
10.38.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End1.6
red by 1.4
6969
#16
9.23.1
12.08.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed