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Red68
260113.8
30326.7
501617.2
Blue59
409110.9
2033.2
664810.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5055204060801006859

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#4
26.70.9
22.223.2
Auto4.3
Teleop16.4
End6.0
blue by 6.4
20
#1
33.20.1
31.631.7
Auto3.9
Teleop19.5
End9.7
Second
5016
#17
17.21.6
14.416.0
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End2.9
red by 6.3
4091
#14
10.90.1
13.113.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.2
Third
13.81.6
11.212.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End2.8
red by 3.3
6648
#42
10.40.1
7.37.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed75%HAB Docking oddsEarned