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Red44
260113.8
331425.0
771811.0
Blue32
52029.1
750417.3
115616.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4340203050604432

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.0
20.220.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End7.5
red by 7.6
7504
#12
17.31.0
12.611.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Second
13.80.1
12.812.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End2.8
blue by 2.3
1156
#11
16.11.0
15.614.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End3.2
Third
7718
#13
11.00.0
7.47.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End2.2
red by 1.9
5202
#45
9.11.0
9.48.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed