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Red37
580612.1
659314.5
701610.6
Blue40
731812.7
753914.7
645914.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373602060801003740

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6593
#28
14.50.2
12.712.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End3.2
blue by 0.2
7539
#20
14.70.7
11.211.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End3.1
Second
5806
#35
12.10.2
12.212.4
Auto5.8
Teleop4.1
End2.2
blue by 2.2
6459
#34
14.30.7
11.412.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Third
7016
#40
10.60.2
10.210.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End2.2
blue by 2.1
7318
#19
12.70.7
11.311.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed