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Red56
38312.9
602417.4
115516.9
Blue67
659314.5
753914.7
30326.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3953203060705667

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6024
#30
17.42.1
14.216.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.3
blue by 9.4
303
#4
26.71.1
24.926.0
Auto4.3
Teleop16.4
End6.0
Second
1155
#26
16.92.1
14.716.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
red by 2.2
7539
#20
14.71.9
13.014.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End3.1
Third
383
#27
12.92.1
8.410.5
Auto1.5
Teleop7.7
End3.7
blue by 1.6
6593
#28
14.51.9
11.813.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsEarned