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Red34
30178.8
731812.7
501617.2
Blue46
691110.6
640115.2
115516.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38362025304045503446

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5016
#17
17.20.2
15.214.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End2.9
red by 0.3
1155
#26
16.91.4
12.113.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
Second
7318
#19
12.70.2
12.812.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End5.2
blue by 2.6
6401
#24
15.21.4
12.413.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End2.8
Third
3017
#41
8.80.2
8.17.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End2.7
blue by 1.8
6911
#38
10.61.4
9.310.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed