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Red20
287211.8
512312.1
701610.6
Blue15
341914.7
226515.1
691110.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384402060802015

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5123
#29
12.11.8
11.810.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.9
End3.4
blue by 3.0
2265
#39
15.13.0
13.110.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Second
2872
#15
11.81.8
12.110.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.9
End3.1
blue by 2.9
3419
#31
14.73.0
15.512.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Third
7016
#40
10.61.8
12.410.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End2.2
blue by 0.1
6911
#38
10.63.0
13.310.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed