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Red51
115516.9
775910.0
287211.8
Blue30
69699.2
395013.3
40127.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353110204050605130

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
#26
16.91.3
13.414.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
red by 3.6
3950
#46
13.30.0
12.512.5
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Second
2872
#15
11.81.3
10.111.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.9
End3.1
red by 2.6
6969
#16
9.20.0
8.78.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.3
End3.1
Third
7759
#37
10.01.3
9.510.8
Auto1.8
Teleop5.1
End3.2
red by 2.3
4012
#43
7.70.0
8.68.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed