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Red57
69699.2
773010.7
680614.9
Blue43
395013.3
52029.1
602417.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363902060801005743

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6806
#32
14.91.5
14.616.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End4.6
blue by 2.4
6024
#30
17.40.7
16.317.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.3
Second
7730
#25
10.71.5
10.511.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.2
End3.8
blue by 2.6
3950
#46
13.30.7
12.513.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Third
6969
#16
9.21.5
8.710.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.3
End3.1
red by 0.1
5202
#45
9.10.7
7.88.5
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed