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Red45
52718.8
115616.1
645914.3
Blue41
115516.9
341914.7
594312.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494420304060704541

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#21
18.80.1
17.617.5
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End4.7
red by 1.8
1155
#26
16.90.4
16.816.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
Second
1156
#11
16.10.1
15.615.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End3.2
red by 1.4
3419
#31
14.70.4
13.112.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Third
6459
#34
14.30.1
12.912.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End2.2
red by 1.5
5943
#33
12.80.2
11.811.5
Auto5.6
Teleop3.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed