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Red74
287211.8
179629.9
731812.7
Blue78
2033.2
166011.4
645914.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525720304070807478

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.7
28.229.9
Auto2.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
blue by 3.3
20
#1
33.21.2
31.933.1
Auto3.9
Teleop19.5
End9.7
Second
7318
#19
12.71.7
11.012.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End5.2
blue by 1.6
6459
#34
14.31.6
12.714.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Third
2872
#15
11.81.7
10.211.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.9
End3.1
red by 0.4
1660
#44
11.41.7
9.711.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
15%Rocket oddsEarned6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsEarned51%HAB Docking oddsEarned