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Red40
450811.2
304416.7
646311.8
Blue47
596410.8
69422.7
25014.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41430102030506070804047

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#23
16.70.5
12.512.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End3.9
blue by 6.0
694
#3
22.70.7
19.119.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End6.9
Second
6463
#21
11.80.5
10.39.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End2.0
blue by 2.8
250
#13
14.60.7
12.313.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Third
4508
#32
11.20.5
15.915.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End3.6
red by 0.4
5964
#12
10.80.7
9.510.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsEarned