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Red75
149325.5
379912.5
63918.8
Blue50
450811.2
14516.3
69422.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454820304060707550

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.52.5
13.816.2
Auto4.7
Teleop15.1
End5.7
red by 2.9
694
#3
22.70.5
17.317.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End6.9
Second
639
#9
18.82.5
15.718.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End3.6
red by 2.5
145
#11
16.30.5
13.714.2
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End4.0
Third
3799
#27
12.52.5
13.315.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End3.7
red by 1.3
4508
#32
11.20.5
14.515.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed