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Red30
66215.7
166515.2
450811.2
Blue44
14516.3
703114.3
765114.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404520305060703044

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1665
#26
15.20.8
15.915.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End4.0
blue by 1.1
145
#11
16.30.2
16.116.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End4.0
Second
4508
#32
11.20.8
13.813.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End3.6
blue by 3.3
7651
#15
14.50.2
12.312.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End1.9
Third
6621
#34
5.70.8
7.87.1
Auto4.4
Teleop0.4
End0.9
blue by 8.5
7031
#17
14.30.2
13.713.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed