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Red54
69422.7
287512.5
33318.7
Blue50
77188.0
51415.9
149325.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5345304050605450

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#3
22.70.4
23.523.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End6.9
blue by 2.9
25.50.7
22.623.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.1
End5.7
Second
333
#22
18.70.5
15.315.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End3.1
red by 2.8
514
#24
15.90.8
13.714.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End3.8
Third
12.50.4
11.111.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End4.5
red by 4.4
7718
#36
8.00.7
6.67.3
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed