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Red20
740011.8
646311.8
64848.3
Blue17
594312.0
688010.5
7145.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363315202530404550552017

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7400
#25
11.81.4
11.610.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 0.2
5943
#20
12.01.5
12.310.8
Auto5.3
Teleop3.1
End3.6
Second
6463
#21
11.81.4
13.011.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End2.0
red by 1.3
6880
#14
10.51.5
10.69.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End4.2
Third
6484
#28
8.31.5
9.37.8
Auto3.3
Teleop3.1
End1.9
red by 3.0
714
#33
5.31.6
8.67.0
Auto3.4
Teleop1.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed47%HAB Docking oddsMissed