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Red42
25014.6
287512.5
399616.0
Blue39
703015.3
765114.5
35816.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41441020305060704239

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.00.3
15.515.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End4.8
blue by 0.8
358
#18
16.80.5
15.214.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End3.7
Second
250
#13
14.60.3
11.712.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End3.6
blue by 0.7
7030
#19
15.30.6
13.613.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.4
End3.7
Third
12.50.3
11.611.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End4.5
blue by 2.1
7651
#15
14.50.5
12.512.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed