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Red30
688010.5
66215.7
304416.7
Blue33
51415.9
399616.0
703015.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45422030405060703033

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#23
16.71.4
14.413.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End3.9
red by 0.7
16.00.8
13.712.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End4.8
Second
6880
#14
10.51.4
15.514.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End4.2
blue by 5.4
514
#24
15.90.8
13.612.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End3.8
Third
6621
#34
5.71.4
12.911.5
Auto4.4
Teleop0.4
End0.9
blue by 9.6
7030
#19
15.30.8
12.711.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed