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Red54
25014.6
77188.0
279127.7
Blue31
379912.5
66215.7
740011.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503101020406070805431

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.3
26.026.2
Auto5.1
Teleop15.9
End6.7
red by 15.2
3799
#27
12.50.1
12.412.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End3.7
Second
250
#13
14.60.3
13.814.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End3.6
red by 2.8
7400
#25
11.80.1
11.711.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
Third
7718
#36DQ
8.00.3
7.88.0
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End2.0
red by 2.3
6621
#34
5.70.1
5.65.7
Auto4.4
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
13%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed