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Red67
32921.8
14522.7
52717.8
Blue84
304419.7
259020.4
63919.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6865204060801006784

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145
#4
22.70.0
23.223.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End5.5
red by 2.2
2590
#11
20.40.2
21.321.6
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End3.5
Second
329
#6
21.80.0
22.322.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End6.1
red by 2.0
3044
#22
19.70.2
20.620.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End5.2
Third
527
#18
17.80.0
18.418.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
blue by 1.4
639
#24
19.20.2
20.120.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End4.7