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Red55
52717.8
630024.6
42038.7
Blue82
166516.5
317121.2
493026.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48602030407080905582

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6300
#16
24.60.6
21.722.4
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End3.5
blue by 2.2
26.80.7
23.524.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End9.6
Second
527
#18
17.81.1
14.015.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
blue by 3.3
3171
#10
21.21.2
16.918.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Third
4203
#28
8.71.1
9.810.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End1.3
blue by 7.9
1665
#13
16.50.7
16.116.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed80%HAB Docking oddsEarned