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Red59
22920.9
702714.6
69426.6
Blue73
279134.7
493026.8
63919.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6372506080901005973

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#2
26.60.0
22.722.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.9
End9.4
blue by 8.1
34.70.3
27.728.0
Auto5.8
Teleop21.9
End7.1
Second
229
#15
20.90.0
24.724.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End2.6
blue by 5.9
26.80.4
21.521.9
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End9.6
Third
7027
#27
14.60.1
12.112.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End3.7
blue by 4.6
639
#24
19.20.3
18.819.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned86%HAB Docking oddsEarned