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Red57
45478.8
573619.6
14522.7
Blue46
304419.7
63919.2
767212.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5348304060705746

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145
#4
22.70.5
22.322.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End5.5
red by 2.9
3044
#22
19.70.2
19.619.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End5.2
Second
5736
#17
19.60.8
17.418.1
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End2.3
red by 0.4
639
#24
19.20.2
16.115.9
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Third
4547
#25
8.80.8
10.411.2
Auto4.3
Teleop1.9
End2.5
blue by 3.2
7672
#21
12.00.3
10.19.8
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed