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Red59
408312.2
445812.1
630024.6
Blue83
69426.6
19525.9
52717.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48622030407080905983

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6300
#16
24.60.9
21.922.8
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End3.5
blue by 2.0
694
#2
26.60.4
24.424.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.9
End9.4
Second
4083
#19
12.20.9
10.811.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.9
blue by 13.7
195
#7
25.90.7
18.719.4
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End5.4
Third
4458
#29
12.11.5
13.214.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End1.2
blue by 5.7
527
#18
17.80.7
15.516.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed61%HAB Docking oddsEarned