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Red49
42038.7
259020.4
408312.2
Blue22
445812.1
503019.7
767212.0
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394202060801004922

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#11
20.40.2
16.516.3
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End3.5
red by 0.7
5030
#20
19.71.9
14.912.9
Auto4.2
Teleop12.8
End2.7
Second
4083
#19
12.20.3
9.08.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.9
red by 0.1
4458
#29
12.11.9
14.512.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Third
4203
#28
8.70.3
11.411.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End1.3
blue by 3.3
7672
#21
12.03.8
12.08.1
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed