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Red36
702714.6
558513.9
45478.8
Blue58
14522.7
408312.2
428420.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345510203040506070803658

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7027
#27
14.60.4
12.312.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End3.7
blue by 8.1
145
#4
22.70.4
22.823.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End5.5
Second
5585
#30
13.90.4
9.09.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End3.3
blue by 6.7
20.60.4
17.317.7
Auto3.2
Teleop10.7
End6.7
Third
4547
#25
8.80.4
11.211.6
Auto4.3
Teleop1.9
End2.5
blue by 3.4
4083
#19
12.20.4
11.712.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed51%HAB Docking oddsEarned