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Red42
22920.9
69426.6
42038.7
Blue41
260725.7
45478.8
362415.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625530405070804241

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#2
26.61.3
24.923.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.9
End9.4
red by 0.9
25.70.9
21.921.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End6.9
Second
229
#15
20.91.3
22.521.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End2.6
red by 5.2
3624
#14
15.81.3
18.517.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End4.0
Third
4203
#28
8.71.9
11.39.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End1.3
blue by 0.1
4547
#25
8.81.3
11.610.2
Auto4.3
Teleop1.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsMissed57%HAB Docking oddsMissed