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Red57
445812.1
14522.7
3956.9
Blue29
767212.0
42038.7
362415.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5042203060705729

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145
#4
22.70.8
23.823.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End5.5
red by 6.9
3624
#14
15.81.0
17.216.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End4.0
Second
4458
#29
12.11.0
14.813.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End1.2
red by 0.2
7672
#21
12.01.0
13.312.3
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.2
Third
395
#31
6.91.1
8.97.8
Auto3.5
Teleop1.1
End2.4
blue by 1.8
4203
#28
8.71.0
9.48.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed