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Red39
558513.9
317121.2
408312.2
Blue76
493026.8
22920.9
630024.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4675304050607080901003976

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#10
21.20.4
22.321.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End3.7
blue by 5.7
26.80.3
26.026.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End9.6
Second
5585
#30
13.90.4
9.49.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End3.3
blue by 10.7
6300
#16
24.60.3
24.624.9
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End3.5
Third
4083
#19
12.20.3
12.211.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.9
blue by 8.7
229
#15
20.90.3
20.921.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed73%HAB Docking oddsEarned