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Red63
28720.1
52717.8
702714.6
Blue76
259020.4
63919.2
558513.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5449304060706376

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#12
20.10.7
19.620.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End6.5
blue by 0.3
2590
#11
20.41.7
18.920.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End3.5
Second
527
#18
17.80.7
17.618.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
blue by 1.4
639
#24
19.21.7
18.920.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Third
7027
#27
14.60.7
13.714.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End3.7
red by 0.6
5585
#30
13.91.9
9.010.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsEarned