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Red47
503019.7
22920.9
3956.9
Blue110
12518.6
408312.2
493026.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495920408010047110

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#15
20.90.1
21.621.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End2.6
blue by 5.9
26.80.4
26.526.9
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End9.6
Second
5030
#20
19.70.1
19.119.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.8
End2.7
red by 1.2
125
#9
18.60.4
18.218.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Third
395
#31
6.90.1
5.45.5
Auto3.5
Teleop1.1
End2.4
blue by 5.3
4083
#19
12.20.4
11.211.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed73%HAB Docking oddsEarned