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Red51
558513.9
260725.7
63919.2
Blue53
630024.6
362415.8
317121.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5354455055605153

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.1
19.819.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End6.9
red by 1.1
6300
#16
24.60.1
19.919.8
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End3.5
Second
639
#24
19.20.1
19.119.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End4.7
blue by 2.0
3171
#10
21.20.1
16.216.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Third
5585
#30
13.90.2
11.211.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End3.3
blue by 1.8
3624
#14
15.80.1
15.115.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned33%HAB Docking oddsMissed