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Red30
662110.5
503019.7
45478.8
Blue36
702714.6
12518.6
52717.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31450102040506070803036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5030
#20
19.70.0
12.913.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.8
End2.7
red by 1.2
125
#9
18.60.5
18.017.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Second
6621
#23
10.50.0
6.16.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End2.6
blue by 7.3
527
#18
17.80.8
13.212.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
Third
4547
#25
8.80.0
10.610.7
Auto4.3
Teleop1.9
End2.5
blue by 5.7
7027
#27
14.60.8
12.111.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed